Prediction Market Movers

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher is joined by political commentator and writer Richard Hanania for an in-depth conversation on prediction markets, Republican Party realignment, and the road to the 2026 midterms and 2028 presidential election.
Richard shares his personal history with prediction markets, from trading on PredictIt to being a named plaintiff in PredictIt’s lawsuit against the CFTC. The discussion explores why prediction markets remain one of the most powerful tools for forecasting political outcomes, holding commentators accountable, and cutting through media narratives.
The conversation then turns to politics, where Richard explains his break from both white nationalist movements and the MAGA coalition, offering a candid analysis of how fringe ideologies have moved closer to the Republican mainstream.
Chris and Richard examine the influence of figures like Nick Fuentes, the online far-right, and how these groups could impact Republican turnout and candidate selection in the 2026 midterms.

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher is joined by Gigi Alcaraz, Founder of Mira, to explore how social-first trading platforms could reshape the future of prediction markets. Gigi breaks down Mira’s vision, why social markets and community-driven trading are becoming essential, and the biggest challenges facing prediction markets today. She also shares her personal journey — from finding her place in the prediction market ecosystem to participating in Kalshi’s builder program. The conversation wraps with a forward-looking discussion on how prediction markets can evolve, the role of consumer brands, and what builders need to get right to unlock mainstream adoption.
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com
#PredictionMarkets #SocialTrading #Fintech #Kalshi #TradingPlatforms

On this week’s edition of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Henry Lau, Founder of Skywalk, for an in-depth discussion on the rapidly evolving prediction market industry.
Chris and Henry break down Skywalk’s mission, their strategy for scaling the platform, and how builders can thrive amid shifting regulations and increasing competition. The conversation then shifts to Polymarket’s U.S. comeback, what the relaunch means for the market, and if Polymarket can compete against Kalshi.
To close out the episode, the two explore market integrity, emerging challenges for entrepreneurs in the space, and the broader future of prediction markets as crypto-native and regulated platforms converge.
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

The two dive into the recent Kalshi case developments, how states could define swaps and the CFTC’s involvement in the prediction market landscape.
Plus, the two also explore responsible trading, the explosion of crypto and prediction markets, and project what the court's will decide in Kalshi cases.
 
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with entrepreneur and prediction-market expert Ben Freeman to break down the future of forecasting, market structure, liquidity, and how AI is transforming trading platforms.
Chris and Ben discuss how he entered the prediction market space, the biggest problems with current market infrastructure, what founders misunderstand about focus and scale, and why smarter incentives could unlock massive growth in forecasting markets.
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with ProphetX Co-Founder Jake Benzaquen for a deep dive into the future of prediction markets.
Jake shares his journey through major career pivots, how he entered the prediction market ecosystem, and what it has taken to navigate CFTC compliance while building an innovative trading platform.
The conversation expands into macro-level prediction market trends, what the next generation of trading could look like, and how AI is poised to reshape the entire landscape. Whether you’re a trader, a policymaker, or someone fascinated by emerging fintech, this is a must-watch episode.
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Evie, founder of XO Live — known online as @0xgingergirl — to talk about how her app is reshaping community engagement and prediction markets.
Evie shares how she pivoted from building a dating app to creating a thriving prediction market platform, the difference between men and women in trading communities, and why she loves no mention markets.
The two discuss how prediction markets influence companies, the ongoing badge wars, and Evie’s candid take on X as a sometimes toxic space for creators. Plus, she shares her experience meeting Shane Copeland.
00:00 - Intro
1:00 - Joinng the prediction market ecosystem
3:45 - Founding a dating app
5:15 - On pivoting from her dating app
9:25 - Live stream markets
13:15 - The impact of her app
16:30 Prediction markets influencing companies
17:30 - Difference between men and women in the prediction market space
22:30 - Approaching the no mention markets
24:15 - On meeting  Shane Copeland
26:15 - Why X can be a toxic place 
28:00 The badge wars on social media
30:00 - Improvements to the industry 

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with Damon Thayer, the Political Director of Prediction News, to break down the results from this week’s off-year elections in New York, New Jersey and Virginia.
Chris and Damon analyze what the outcomes mean for 2025 and 2026, why Zohran Mamdani’s New York could reshape Democratic politics, and how the primaries are becoming even more critical in shaping party futures.
They also discuss the biggest issues on voters’ minds, the question of Democratic leadership post-Harris, and whether Jack Ciattarelli has another run left in him.
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Jeremiah Johnson, Co-Founder of the New Center of Liberalism. Jeremiah shares how he got involved in prediction markets, his concerns about their role in politics, and how prediction data could reshape political discourse.
 
Chris and Jeremiah dive into the New York Mayoral race, explore what could happen if Zohran Mamdani wins, discuss life after Trump, and unpack the shifting dynamics in modern American politics.
 
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com
 
0:00 - Intro
1:00 - How Jeremiah got involved into Prediction Markets
2:30 - Concerns in prediction markets
5:00 - Nate SIlver’s impact on polls
9:00 - Theology in prediction markets
13:30 - NYC mayoral race
19:30 - Who can challenge Cuomo?
22:00 - Brad Lander’s mass appeal
23:45 - Zohran Mamdani’s expectations as NY mayor
26:25 - 2026 midterms 35:15 - “There’s a lot of soul searching for the democrats”
42:00 - Paths for Trump
45:45 - Life after Trump
49:00 - Split Republican Party
#PredictionMarkets #PoliticalPodcast #ChrisGerlacher #JeremiahJohnson #PredictionMarketMovers #ZohranMamdani #NYCPolitics #ElectionForecast #PostTrumpEra #PoliticsAndMarkets #PredictionNews

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with @PredMTrader, a leading content creator in the prediction market space. The two dive into PMT’s journey into prediction markets, the thrill of live trading, and how to find an edge in competitive prediction markets. Chris and PMT also explore the New York Mayoral race, discuss tips for young traders, and break down the obstacles and opportunities within the growing prediction market industry. 🎧 Watch, learn, and trade smarter with Prediction Market Movers! 👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com