Prediction Market Movers

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Joel Simkins, CEO and founder of XST Capital Group, for an in-depth conversation about the future of prediction markets and what could be one of the biggest shakeups in the space — the potential sale of Novig, one of the fastest-growing prediction market platforms.
Chris and Joel break down:
💡 The business and regulatory challenges of acquiring a prediction market platform
⚖️ The sustainability of prediction markets in a competitive landscape
📊 What a Kalshi or Polymarket acquisition could mean for the industry
#PredictionMarkets #Novig #JoelSimkins #XSTCapital #Kalshi #Polymarket #Fintech #CryptoTrading #FinancePodcast #MarketMovers #PredictionMarketMovers #MarketTrends #TradingPlatforms
00:00 - Intro
1:30 Skeptic about a possible acquisition
2:30 - Different types of acquisition deals
3:30 - Novig rumors
5:30 - Investor/founder aftermath
7:00 - Sweepstakes being outlawed
9:00 What makes prediction markets more sustainable?
11:15 - Acquisition wars in the prediction markets
13:00 - Market breakdown after Kalshi/Poly
15:00 - Regulatory risks in the industry
21:20 - Deal terms and earn outs with acquisition
22:40 - Administration changes impacting deals acquisition
24:00 - Future of prediction markets
26:00 - Will Kalshi/Poly dominate the market?
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets. For more information on the prediction markets visit www.predictionnews.com

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Damon Thayer, Director of Politics at Prediction News and former Kentucky Senator, to explore the connection between sports betting, politics, and prediction markets.
Thayer takes listeners inside Kentucky’s journey to legalizing sportsbooks, discussing the behind-the-scenes process, economic impact, and what the state’s success means for the rest of the country.
00:00 - Intro
1:00 - The path to sports betting in Kentucky
7:00 - Who stopped sports betting in Kentucky?
9:00 - An immediate impact of legal betting in Kentucky
13:15 - Damon’s intro to prediction markets
19:00 - Prediction markets utilized in polling
27:00 - NY Mayoral race
33:30 - NY and Virginia gubernatorial races
40:00 - Post-Harris era for the democrats
42:30 - Kentucky bourbon
👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
 
For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com
 

On this edition of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher sits down with online prediction market entertainer and Manifest 2025’s “Best Debtor”, Tumbles (@32Tumbles). Tumbles opens up about his wild journey on the Manifold trading platform, the types of markets he trades, and how things took a surprising turn leading to his infamous Manifest award. Chris and Tumbles dive deep into life as a prediction market entertainer, the intersection between Manifold and broader prediction markets, and some of his most memorable (and costly) trading stories. #PredictionMarkets #ManifoldMarkets #Manifest2025 #Tumbles #ChrisGerlache #PredictionMarketPodcast #OnlineTrading #PredictionMarketCommunity #Manifold👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, entertainers and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.
 
 For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

In this episode of Prediction Market Movers, Chris Gerlacher welcomes Fifty-One Alpha founder Aggie (@BlondiePredicts), often called the queen of prediction markets. Aggie opens up about her background in tennis, her transition into finance, and how she developed her passion for prediction markets.
00:00 - Intro
1:00 - Aggies past life as a tennis player
3:15 - Transitioning into the business world
4:25 - From Latvia to NYC
7:00 - “People just can’t figure me out”
8:30 - Getting into content creation with no content background
9:30 - Prediction market intro 
12:30 - Building an online community 
15:30 - Which markets she is eyeing
16:45 - feeling welcome in the space
18:45 - Getting women more involved in the prediction market space
21:30 - Brands and prediction market
25:00 - What’s next for Aggie?
28:00 - Goodbye

On this episode of Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher sits down with Noah Sternig, former head at Kalshiand long-time prediction market enthusiast. Noah shares his insider journey into Kalshi, how he pushed the limits of what prediction markets can be, and his perspective on defining insider trading in the industry. The conversation also dives into the future of prediction markets, regulation, and what’s next for Noah’s career.#PredictionMarkets #Kalshi #InsiderTrading #NoahSternig #Regulation #CFTC #PredictionMarketMovers
 
👉 Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and turn on notifications so you never miss an update from Prediction Market Movers!

Welcome to Prediction Market Movers, host Chris Gerlacher is joined by Sporttrade founder Alex Kane, an expert in sports wagering and the regulatory environment with legal betting. The two discuss Kane's background, why he started Sporttrade, his letter to the CFTC, concerns with the current landscape and more!👉 Subscribe to Prediction Market Movers for weekly conversations with traders, legal experts, and industry insiders shaping the future of prediction markets.For more information on the prediction markets visit www.prediction news.com

Join host Chris Gerlacher as he kicks off Prediction Market Movers, the podcast covering the latest in prediction market news, trading strategies, and legal updates. Each week, Chris talks with top traders, industry insiders, and everything around prediction markets.👉 Subscribe now to stay updated on everything happening in the prediction market industry.